Sunak was on top of the detail. Changes of this kind are not like electoral on-off switches. Starmer has ensured that the two dominant parties in Britain, like those in the United States, are both unapologetically of capital. Starmer, he said, was making catastrophic errors, creating a punch-up with our own side. This week, though, has provided a reminder of two important things that deserve to be noted by political observers. but more one-sided than a North Korean election held at gunpoint. politics . Adam Drummond, Opinium's head of political polling, said: "Keir Starmer's ratings have taken a tumble as Labour voters begin to fear that he isn't the one to lead the party back to power. At a time of major problems in the NHSfrom backlogged waiting lists, to strikes by ambulance drivers, nurses and junior doctorsdominating many voters thoughts, voters in the Blue Wall (30%), the Red Wall (36%), and the country at large (44%) all notably select the NHS/Healthcare as the issue they most trust his party to deliver on. And Ipsos MORI has Starmer 13 points ahead, while other pollsters also show him outperforming his party. Dominic Raab's popularity falls to -57 amid bullying inquiry . Alli, reportedly worth upward of 100 million, is plugged into to Londons arts, media and business sets. While those on the Corbynite left consider the cash drive morally suspect, the right of the party asserts its the sign of a leader prepared for power. Approval in the Blue Wall is no better, with the Governments approval on immigration down by one point to -44%, although it has improved its rating on the economy (-33%, +5), and the NHS (-49%, +2) since January. Some 39% of people see the Labour leader as the more effective PM according to the poll, which was commissioned by the Evening Standard. The battered economy, on which Starmer focused almost all his questions to Sunak in the Commons yesterday, remains far and away the central battleground of electoral politics for the foreseeable future. A government of which he was part had created the whole problem in the first place, of course, and one should never tire of saying so. 7 times Hancock hogged UK headlines, Chief of Staff - Maternity Cover (Brussels), Metsola wants Ukraine EU membership talks to start this year, Aggro-culture: Farmers protest brings Brussels EU Quarter to a standstill, Rishi Sunak says Whitehall must be impartial amid row over Grays Labour job. Poll says 56% of people think . Asked if they wanted their home to remain British, Falkland Islanders said Yes by 99.8 per cent . Focaldata found that Starmer is regarded as more trustworthy than Johnson, better equipped to make tough decisions and more competent. The hire of Alli as chair of campaign financing was a particularly adroit decision, according to several MPs and party officials. In some ways, the content of the protocol deal was the relatively straightforward bit. He has banned Labours front bench from joining picket lines, an edict that has been defied by several of them and looked all the more risible as even barristers have begun taking industrial action. Leader of the British Labour Party, Keir Starmer, says that if nothing changes, Great Britain's GDP per capita would be lower than that of Poland in 7 years, and that of Hungary and Romania in 17 years. The date range for opinion polls is from the 2019 United Kingdom general election, held on 12 December, to the present day. But he has made his own luck too. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs . An improved UK-EU relationship that could eventually ease Britains trading problems is more distant still. All rights reserved. He could hardly have been in a weaker position than he was when he took over as Tory leader in October. The 1997 quip by Mandelson that he was intensely relaxed about people getting filthy rich as long as they pay their taxes became something of guiding principle for the last Labour governments fundraising efforts. He has become the voice of a new populist grassroots politics filling the void on the left created by Starmers all-too visible absence. For years, we shocked people with Corbyn as leader in the worst way possible and we now need to shock them in positive ways, the shadow Cabinet minister quoted earlier said. The Leader of the Opposition leads by ten points or more on being in touch with ordinary people (39% to 20%), they understand the problems facing Britain (50% to 37%), they are an . 10. In late June, he formally ditched those promises, saying Labour would be starting from scratch. For most of the year, as the government enjoyed the protection against the illness of unpopularity afforded by a successful vaccination programme, it looked as if the forward march of Labour had halted. The Labour leaders raft of broken promises on key issues likely to be close to the hearts of voters as their living standards collapse risks casting him as unreliable and untrustworthy. The job of being Leader of the Opposition is, famously, the most thankless available in British politics. LONDON Keir Starmer is reportedly considering hiring Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated pandemic rule-busting parties in Boris Johnson's government, as his chief of staff. BMG Research interviewed a representative sample of 2,091 GB adults online between 16 and 18 August. On policy delivery, the Government continues to struggle massively on the three key issues of the economy, the NHS, and immigration. Although his approval rating in the Blue Wall fell two points in February to now stand at +6%, his rating in both the Red Wall (+14%) and GB (+13%) are up by six and four points respectively. And finally, it worked. February was another good month of polling for the Labour Party and Keir Starmer, who ended January holding a 21% lead over the Conservatives. Even as Labour drew level in voting intention polls in November, Starmer limped behind Johnson in the preferred prime minister polling. Second, it confirmed that he may be starting to steer the Tory party towards a more moderate and pragmatic place. In a similar vein, Starmer has strictly distanced Labour from the spate of strikes breaking out as workers struggle with escalating costs, despite earlier committing towork shoulder to shoulder with the unions to stand up for working people, tackle insecure work and low pay Oppose Tory attacks on the right to take industrial action and the weakening of workplace rights., While Starmer has agreed, when pressed, that workers have a right to strike in principle, his office has condemned strikes, like the rail unions, when they actually take place. But it is circumstance - not a political programme - that has conspired to help Starmer. Labour holds large leads over the Conservatives in each of our three tracker polls as the party most trusted on the economy, the NHS, and immigration. So will his left-wing opponents, and mainstream MPs who . Yet Keir Starmer's 'mission statement' last week managed something that nearly all speeches from those in his job - including most of his own - fail to achieve: broadly favourable and widespread coverage of his core message that Labour is a government . He is also said to regularly chat with Starmer about the job of opposition leader and what to expect if he enters No. What it shows is that these guys think Keir is going to win. Latest news, analysis and comment on defense in Europe and beyond. It was, mathematically, the result of the government and prime minister enjoying a vaccine boost in popularity, but it prompted bitter Corbynites to remind Blairites how they had predicted that under any other leader Labour would be 20 points ahead. Starmer himself remained grimly determined, with only one outburst of temper or, at least, only one that was reported to the outside world, and that was after a delay of many months, suggesting that the inner team remained loyal throughout. While their lead of 9% in the Blue Wall represents a slight one-point narrowing in comparison to the end of last month, the partys lead over the Conservatives has altogether grown during February by two points in the Red Wall and by six points nationally. When asked who is best to manage the economy in the years ahead, 30% say a Labour government with Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister. The polls may be indicating a huge win for Labour at the next general election, but here's a reason Keir Starmer shouldn't be celebrating yet: Almost two in three voters want a new political party to take on the Conservatives and Labour, a shock new study of trust in politics has found. burden of repaying the 150bn ($170bn) costs, Starmer has hollowed out left-wing politics in the UK, Palestinian and socialist groups further sidelined as Labour email comes to light, UK: Oxford students report racial profiling at event hosting Israeli ambassador. The more he engages with people from the City, the more he feels comfortable with the vocabulary and the issues, a department head at an investment bank said. If Starmers mid-year trough was the mathematical product of Johnsons vaccine-induced rise, his end-year breakthrough could be dismissed as the mere reflection of the prime ministers unpopularity but it feels more soundly based than that. Instead, he has focused on reassuring voters - and the billionaire-owned media - that his party embodies the values associated with old-school conservatism: responsible belt-tightening, support for business, patriotism, law and order, the monarchy and militarism. Correlations identify things people with a positive opinion of Keir Starmer are more likely to rate positively than the . In GB as a whole, the Governments net approval rating for its handling of these three issues now sits at -35% (down four points from late January), -49% (-7), and -39% (-3) respectively. Keir Starmer is the 1st most popular Labour politician and the 2nd most popular politician & political figure. Public opinion. But the publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, following weeks in which he has been accused of failing to be more forceful on the cost of living. It is, admittedly, early days for such speculation. In an interview with the New Statesman last month, Tarry offered a damning assessment of the Labour leader, accusing him of tearing the party apart to erase any trace of Corbynism, despite his predecessor taking the party in 2017 to within an inch of an election victory. First poll of 2023 shows Rishi Sunak favourability at -29 . 2023 Start your Independent Premium subscription today. The protocol deal has not yet been approved. The National Anthem will be sung at the start of the Labour Party conference next weekend, for the first time in recent memory (h/t @BBCBenWright), Saying Im not ideological, Starmer told BBC Breakfast over the summer: Weve reversed those 2019 manifesto positions because we needed to show the country that were credible, were responsible on the economy.. They are also targeting the partys next conference in the autumn as the moment to set out more detail of their plans adding that Labour is making progress with important groups of voters. The Opinium figures, which will raise further concerns within Labour over the party leaders performance, shows that the prime minister has a two-point lead over his opponent. Back in June, his spokesperson said: Weve been clear in the position that the strikes shouldnt go ahead. Given all of this, it would be simply astonishing if Starmer werent leading in the polls. Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt leaves 11 Downing Street, LondonJames Manning. . Which will be only too evident as he addresses Labours annual conference next week. When asked who they blamed for the crisis, voters placed equal weight on Liz Truss (21%) and the war in Ukraine (21%). For many, he is also indelibly linked to other New Labour cash scandals, including a rowover a watered-down advertising banfor Formula 1 just after F1 boss Bernie Ecclestone gave millions to the party. . Yet Starmer found himself going backwards, as Labour sank gently in the opinion polls. The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye. Starmer has experience that Blair didn't. His website and blog can be found at www.jonathan-cook.net. Starmer and Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves have met hundreds of executives over the past year in what has been called the salmon and scrambled eggs offensive a riff on Blair and his own Chancellor Gordon Browns so-called prawn cocktail offensive of the 1990s. Political Monitor. . Jeremy Corbyn approval rating . As a strategy to win an election the speech "did the trick". While Starmer is seen as more austere, he has embraced the former PMs party financing strategy. And he is now trailing Sir Keir as the most popular candidate to be Prime Minister. The damage done by the polarisation, recklessness, venality and destructiveness of the May-Johnson-Truss years casts long shadows that will shape the politics of this decade. LONDON Labour leader Keir Starmer has chosen Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated pandemic rule-busting parties in Boris Johnson's government, as his chief of staff. Sir Keir Starmer - Labour Party Leader. Opinion Rishi Sunak. I find the best way to judge the . ', asks Mark Dolan. . Starmer is said to have become increasingly comfortable in these settings over the past 12 months as his status as prime minister-in-waiting Labour is consistently polling 20 points ahead of the Tories is further entrenched. The appetite for a more radical approach to the Tory government has been highlighted by the rapid rise of Mick Lynch, leader of the striking Rail, Maritime and Transport Workers union (RMT). Millionaires clearly want different policy priorities, but it matters to public opinion who is influencing the people who are supposed to be working in our interests?. The poll also found voters backing Keir Starmer over Rishi Sunak. Middle East Eye. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll.. But the signs are that there will be little enthusiasm for a Labour Party led by him as a replacement. Now that would shock people.. Sat 11 Jun 2022 14.57 EDT. The big winner in all this, however, is disillusionment. That amounts to a 10% swing to Labour since the election. Voters, it seems, finally agree. Labours new HQ in Southwark is described by party officials as a serious upgrade, with the NEC member quoted earlier calling it a proper campaign HQ, like it was in 1997., The party has also been on a hiring spree in recent months, advertising for dozens of new positions across the country. The latest news, data and analysis on the worlds pandemic response. "Labour's poor position today is the result of factors both out of their control and things they should be deeply concerned with.". His internal opposition had largely given up and gone home, disgusted with the obvious distance he had put between himself and his predecessor, now not even a Labour MP. The date range for opinion polls is from the 2019 United Kingdom general election, held on 12 December, to the present day. March 2, 2023. in News. Sir Keir took over his party's leadership from Jeremy Corbyn in April last year, and by September the party was ahead of the Conservatives in some polls for the first time since Mr Johnson became prime minister. Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is trailing Boris Johnson as the British public's preferred prime minister by 17 percentage points, according to a new poll. Neither Labour or the Cabinet Office denied a report by Sky News' that the Labour leader who current polls suggest could . Labour extended its lead nationally to 27%, the widest margin it has held since Sunak became PM in October, while also opening up a lead of 28% in the Red Wall (another record lead with Sunak as Prime Minister). But it remains to be seen whether the announcement of a deal with the European Union over the Northern Ireland Protocol will lead to a reversal in the Governments polling fortunes. One month ago he was on -3 in the equivalent BMG poll and in June the number of people who were satisfied was the same as those dissatisfied. After languishing stubbornly behind the government in surveys since his election to head Labour in early 2020, Starmer is now reported to have a seven-point lead over the Tories new leader, Liz Truss, when the public is asked who would do a better job as prime minister. Only a minority of 2019 Conservative Party voters, 43%, back a Sunak-led Conservative government to manage the economy. Sir Keir's office declined to comment, saying it did not offer 'running commentaries' on opinion polls. 61 per cent want 'completely new type of political . The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition since April 2020. The Opinium figures, which will raise further concerns within Labour over the party leader's performance, shows that the prime minister has a two-point lead over his opponent. LONDON: Keir Starmer, the leader of Britain's opposition Labour Party, has picked as his new chief of staff Sue Gray, a government official whose investigation helped catalyse the exit of Boris . His Blue Wall rating, meanwhile, remains unchanged from January at -10%. Indeed, Labours biggest backer, the union Unite, has reduced its contributions to the party in retaliation for Starmers efforts to shift away from the socialist policies of Corbyn. Labour also still hold a lead of 10 points over the Conservatives in terms of overall voting intentions, broadly in line with our figures for June and likely to see the Labour party win a majority if an election were tomorrow.. Politics. Of course, the Conservative Party will take evasive action, up to and including changing leader, before the next election, but we can now see that Labours doom and gloom about Starmers anti-charisma and Johnsons Teflon qualities were overdone. Too soon for that. Keir Starmer was rewarded for his "strategic patience", according to an ally, when . War in Ukraine overturned the political landscape. Close Blair ally and media entrepreneur Waheed Alli has been appointed by Starmer as the partys head of election fundraising. Each pollster uses the following wording for this question: Some pollsters conduct surveys to compare figures who are not both party leaders. Sir Keir Starmer's decision to make Sue Gray his chief of staff proves he is a "man of the establishment" and will harm Labour's chances of winning the Red Wall, a former Conservative party chairman has claimed Sir Jake Berry said the appointment underlined that the Labour leader would run a . Progressive politics is out in the cold. But dont underestimate this prime minister, either. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. In a nationally representative poll taken August 26th to 29th, Keir Starmer leads Liz Truss by 10 points or more on: And also by 11 points for each of paying attention to detail (41% to 30%), being a capable leader (38% to 27%) and they are going to make the country a better place (35% to 24%). BMG are members of the British Polling Council and abide by their rules. An Opinium poll sees the Labour leader struggling to make headway against a PM whose handling of the pandemic has gained approval. X. For similar reasons, the Enough is Enough movement has recently emerged, demanding pay rises for workers and higher taxes for the rich. Lucy Powell described partygate investigator Sue Gray - who plans to join Labour as Sir Keir Starmer's chief of staff - as "impartial" and "really good at her job". In my dealings with Gray when I was political secretary, I found her . In a speech in July he said rebooting the economy would be a Labour governments defining task. By logging in, you confirm acceptance of ourPOLITICO Privacy Policy. At the same time, the Governments net competency rating is up in both the Red Wall and the Blue Wall, by three points to -35% in the Red Wall and by two points to -36% in the Blue Wall, respectively. Does Rishi Sunak deserve some kind of apology? The Socialist Campaign Group of MPs did not have the numbers to trigger a leadership election, let alone a candidate; Rayner had been one of theirs but she had compromised with the ideological enemy in the party. For Sunak personally, his approval rating, despite some fluctuations, ends February more or less where it was at the end of January. Only England and Wales jurisdiction apply in all legal matters. Does Keir Starmer look like a Prime Minister in waiting? Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party is out of touch with public opinion, poll has found.
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