Stay up to date with what you want to know. As it turns out, the two most likely seats to flip may be Maryland and Massachusetts, where popular Republican governors are leaving office, and the GOP . All rights reserved. With Democrats maintaining a large lead in the state House of Representatives and Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham reelected for another four years, the Legislature is in a position to pass reproductive rights legislation, according to a Democratic legislator. Ronchetti, Grisham's challenger, is a certified meteorologist and worked as the chief meteorologist for Albuquerque's CBS and FOX affiliates. In 2018 and 2020, those votes after noon ET on Wednesday were slightly in favor of Democrats, but they shifted the vote totals by less than 1% of the vote. NM Political Report (https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2022/10/10/lujan-grisham-leads-governors-race-by-8-points/). While were still seeing COVID cases, our preparedness and collaborative work have helped turn a once-in-a-century public health emergency into a manageable situation, Lujan Grisham said in a statement on Friday. By Susan Dunne. Your account has been registered, and you are now logged in. New Mexico Governor Primary Election Results. A poll released Monday by an Albuquerque TV station showed incumbent Gov. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. It called over 93% of races right, and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. Early voting in the state started on Oct. 11 and ended on Saturday. A: As of Sept. 30, 2022, there were 1,358,032 registered voters in New Mexico, including 601,197 registered Democrats, 422,567 registered Republicans and 305,769 registered independents. 50. 45 votes. Lujan Grishams lead also largely comes thanks to Hispanic or Latino voters, 64 percent of whom would vote for the incumbent, compared to 28 percent for Ronchetti and 3 percent for Bedonie. Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham was re-elected in 2022 with 52.0% of the vote. New Mexico's best political reporting. Estimated remaining 9,968. NM Political Report (https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2022/06/20/poll-lujan-grisham-with-narrow-lead-at-start-of-general-election/). However, Republicans are feeling bullish about their chances in New Mexico, thanks to a more favorable national environment in 2022. dvelopper et amliorer nos produits et services. This is the name that will be used to identify you within the system. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. State Rep. Linda Serrato, D-Santa Fe, called the next two years crucial to passing reproductive rights legislation. Period. ET. Q: What Are The Pitfalls With Early Returns? RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - New Mexico Governor - Ronchetti vs. Lujan Grisham The New Mexico GOP is looking to unseat Democratic Gov. Projected winner. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican A bill that would hold adults responsible for keeping guns out of the hands of children passed the Senate largely along party lines Friday. Michelle Lujan Grisham. The governor announced her renewal of the public health emergency order on Friday would be the final one, and it would expire on March 31. Among other races and ethnicities, Lujan Grisham leads 49 percent to 27 percent over Ronchetti, with 7 percent supporting Bedonie. By Robert Nott, The Santa Fe New Mexican When it comes to school lunches, Alejandro Najera laid it out straight for the lawmakers. Not all percentages will add up to 100 percent because of rounding. Mark Ronchetti is outstanding, the former Republican president wrote. A bill that would allow people who purchase fishing or hunting licenses to round up to the nearest dollar to fund youth programs unanimously passed the state Senate on Friday. Democrats 36 seats not up for election. The states COVID-19 public health emergency will come to an end at the end of March, a little more than three years after the governor first issued her executive order over the deadly respiratory illness. Lujan Grisham leading her Republican opponent Mark Ronchetti narrowly, 49 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, with 1 percent backing Libertarian nominee Karen Bedonie. New Mexico Governor Primary Election Results . Grisham is the 32nd governor of New Mexico. 6. But, there is a nearly 3% margin of error, effectively making the race too close to call. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Unofficial Results From The New Mexico Secretary Of State's Office. Michelle Lujan Grisham. Michelle Lujan Grisham in her race for reelection this year, according to a recent internal polling memo. What Happened: The national poll of 1,060 registered voters conducted . A: New Mexico law provides for mandatory recounts if the gap between the candidates is less than 0.25% for federal, statewide, judicial races and ballot questions. Full election results. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Her opponent, Ronchetti, raised more than $7.8 million, as of October 3. The poll of 1,254 likely voters was conducted from Oct. 20-27. In an open race for attorney general, Democrats are backing the well-known district attorney from the states largest city. Based on that, Real Clear Politics puts Gov. T hey had a funny bit on "Saturday Night Live" a few years ago where two . Create a password that only you will remember. Lujan Grisham, a staunch pro-abortion rights supporter, has actively courted the female vote, contending a womans right to choose is at stake in the Nov. 8 midterm election. All Rights Reserved. Ronchetti ran unsuccessfully for Senate in 2020 while coming within 6 percentage points of an experienced rival from a Democratic political dynasty. Fox News Flash top headlines are here. For other uses, see Utah (disambiguation). By Daniel J. Chacn Championship 1A District 2) Cheyenne Wells 42 vs Granada 51 (3 rd Place 1A District 2) Cheraw 34 vs McClave 62; Championship 1A District 3) La Veta 48 vs Springfield 50 (Championship 1A District 5) Otis 58 vs Stratton 71 (Championship 2A District 6) Crowley County 50 vs Holly 27 (3 rd Place 2A District 6) Hoehne 34 vs Fowler 51 (Championship 2A District 8) Simla 50 vs Limon 48 The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. This website is not intended for users located within the European Economic Area. ET and close at 9 p.m. Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party. President Joe Biden had a 10 percentage point margin of victory in 2020, and the state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections in 2004, George W. Bush won the state by a slim margin of less than 1% of the vote. Polls closed in the state at 7 p.m. local time, or 9 p.m. EST. ATCOSTTEHMEMER (Democrat) 22. A bill that would allow people who purchase fishing or hunting licenses to round up to the nearest dollar to fund youth programs unanimously passed the state Senate on Friday. AP will tabulate and declare winners in 55 contested elections in New Mexico, including Governor, three U.S. House races, seven other statewide races and six statewide ballot issues. All votes were tallied by 7:30 p.m. Thursday. State Rep. Linda Serrato, D-Santa Fe, called the next two years crucial to passing reproductive rights legislation. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) is statistically tied with Republican challenger Mark Ronchetti in the state's latest gubernatorial poll. Bill Richardson. Michelle Lujan Grisham, Eddie Moore/AP; Insider, state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. At . On Tuesday, FBI Director Christopher Wray told Fox News the COVID-19 pandemic was likely caused by a lab leak in Wuhan, China, a theory . Grisham is the 32nd governor of New Mexico. The state voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election cycle since 1992, excluding 2004. In the Sanderoff poll, Lujan Grisham is faring better among voters in north-central New Mexico, a Democratic stronghold that includes Santa Fe, Taos and Rio Arriba County. In the 2020 general election, nearly 85% of voters cast ballots prior to Election Day. Ronchetti did really well in Farmington, but thatll be somewhat offset by the rest of the northwest region, including in McKinley County which is very Democrat, Sanderoff said. The same is true for Ronchetti in the conservative stronghold of eastern New Mexico. With Democrats maintaining a large lead in the state House of Representatives and Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham reelected for another four years, the Legislature is in a position to pass reproductive rights legislation, according to a Democratic legislator. The race between Grisham and Ronchetti was rated as "lean Democratic" by Inside Elections, "lean Democratic" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Democratic" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. SANTA FE, N.M. The latest poll on the race for the governor in New Mexico is giving Republican Mark Ronchetti a slight edge in the race. ET. It had a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points. afficher des publicits et des contenus personnaliss en fonction de vos profils de centres dintrt; mesurer lefficacit des publicits et contenus personnaliss; et. Download. In the 2020 . Republicans have poured money into the governors race in the final months of 2022 campaigning, amid dueling attack ads from independent political committees. Lujan Grisham won the 2018 gubernatorial campaign 57.2 percent to 42.8 percent over Steve Pearce, the Republican candidate and now chair of the Republican Party of New Mexico. As President Biden left the White House Friday, he approached then swiftly turned his back on reporters after one asked him to comment on COVID-19's origins. Democratic New Mexico Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham is running against Mark Ronchetti. Home Search Translate. Gov. By Tom Danehy. Another 6 percent are undecided. Email notifications are only sent once a day, and only if there are new matching items. The official county tabulation starts on November 18 while the state tabulation starts on November 29. as well as other partner offers and accept our. A: State law now allows for same-day voter registration at a precinct once a voter affirms not having voted elsewhere. ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (AP) A 14-year-old New Mexico boy accused of shooting and killing a classmate in 2021 has pleaded no contest to a charge of second-degree murder, prosecutors said Thursday. Public Policy Polling called landlines and text messaged those without landlines. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider The governor announced her renewal of the public health emergency order on Friday would be the final one, and it would expire on March 31. ET. A new Yahoo/YouGov poll revealed that the governor of Florida, Ron DeSantis remains behind former President Donald Trump in a race for the 2024 Republican Ronchettis camp framed Mondays poll as good news after weekend polls that had the challenger significantly behind. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? If youre undecided at this point, I think youre less likely to be voting for the incumbent, Sanderoff said. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. 2020 New Mexico State House - District 21 Election Results. Receive a list of headlines from the latest edition of The New Mexican in your inbox every morning. Mark [has] my Total Endorsement.. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? Find election results and our interactive county-by . This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Lujan Grisham leading her Republican opponent Mark Ronchetti narrowly, 49 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, with 1 percent backing Libertarian nominee Karen Bedonie. People vote early for the upcoming midterm elections in Las Cruces, New Mexico, on Oct. 24, 2022. With 23 days before the November election, New Mexico Democrats held a rally with Planned Parenthood and NARAL Pro-Choice America national leaders in Las Cruces on Saturday to discuss the importance of abortion rights. Copyright 2015-2023, NM Political Report. Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. KRQE News 13's Chris McKee and Curtis Segarra hosted livestreaming election results and analysis on KRQE.com between 7:30 and 11 p.m. Tuesday. Then you say, Whats left? Youve got the Albuquerque area, the Las Cruces area, and over the years, those areas are becoming more blue, so its harder for Republicans to win, he said. * Incumbent Corcoran wrote Lujan Grisham is campaigning all over the state, emphasizing how much is on the line this election.. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, Race for the Vaccine. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican A bipartisan bill that would have left the cap on medical malpractice payouts for independent outpatient health care facilities at $750,000 for another two years stalled Thursday in the Senate Tax, Business and Transportation Committee. ET and close at 9 p.m. The race is between Democrat Laura Montoya and Republican Harry Montoya. The AP does not make projections and will only declare a winner when its determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidates to close the gap. They also say their governor is doing a better job than the president is. Redistricting after the 2020 census has made U.S. House District 2 more competitive, by adding more Democrats to the district. The poll showed Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Karen Bedonie with 3 percent of the vote and 5 percent of voters undecided. This whole abortion issue and how it played out in the campaign works to the advantage of the governor, Sanderoff said, adding Democrats are using similar strategies throughout the nation. A bill to expand the scope of the New Mexico Human Rights Act to include protections for the LGBTQ community passed the House by 47-to-20. New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022. Your purchase was successful, and you are now logged in. Grisham was elected to the governorship in 2018, becoming the first Democratic Latina to be elected governor in the country's history. According to the poll done by Emerson College, Gov. Before joining Congress, Grisham was a member of the Bernalillo County Commission and also served as head of New Mexico's State Department of Health from 2004 to 2007 under Gov. Lorsque vous utilisez nos sites et applications, nous utilisons des, authentifier les utilisateurs, appliquer des mesures de scurit, empcher les spams et les abus; et. Ronchetti, meanwhile, leads among Trump voters 88 percent to 8 percent for Bedonie and 1 percent for Lujan Grisham. Polls open at 9 a.m. Since becoming a state in 1912, it has sided with the loser of presidential elections only three times: Gerald Ford in . 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Danehy. Vous pouvez modifier vos choix tout moment en cliquant sur le lien Tableau de bord sur la vie prive prsent sur nos sites et dans nos applications. Opinion Polls: Delphi's Polling Place - Welcome to Arizona - I realize that the article is from New Mexico and may not have their facts straight, but I couldn't help but notice that New Mexico is not the only state receiving Arizona patients. Like Donald Trump, [Ronchetti] would attempt to drain funding from public schools, rip away health care from New Mexicans, and ban abortion in our state, she wrote. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? A poll commissioned by KOB-TV showed Lujan Grisham with a 7-point lead, or 46 percent to 39 percent. ET. 90% of the vote was counted by 1:30 a.m. (AP) Republican businessman Perry Johnson has announced his long-shot bid for president. Its not unusual for there to be a gender gap in polling in general, he added. The poll by Public Policy Polling shows Lujan Grisham leads Ronchetti 45 percent to 42 percent, with Libertarian Karen Bedonie receiving 9 percent and 5 percent saying theyre not sure. . Get up-to-the-minute news sent straight to your device. The memo, provided to Breitbart News, shows results of a poll conducted by Cygnal among 531 likely general election voters. If you forget it, you'll be able to recover it using your email address. March 1, 2023 - 06:54. Nearly one in five registered voters in New Mexico have cast ballots absentee or in person so far, according to data released Monday morning by the New Mexico Secretary of States Office. In this case, we happen to have a female Hispanic candidate, too, which might amplify that.. This article is about the U.S. state of Utah. Governor Primary. Pour en savoir plus sur la faon dont nous utilisons vos donnes personnelles, veuillez consulter notre politique relative la vie prive et notre politique en matire de cookies. The seat has flipped between parties in the last two elections. A bill to expand the scope of the New Mexico Human Rights Act to include protections for the LGBTQ community passed the House by 47-to-20. Senate Polls | Governor Polls | Generic Congressional Ballot | State of the Union Polls | Latest Election Polls. 49 -1. Senate Polling. 100% Reporting *Incumbent. Polling in the fiercely competitive and closely watched race for governor of New Mexico is starting to feel like a yo-yo. The filing deadline was March 24, 2022. The state or county must start the recount within ten days of the request. Gov. The poll is by the Trafalgar group, a political and . Show Transcript. The poll of 806 likely voters was conducted by Public Policy Polling on Oct. 6 and 7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points. It should have said this poll was of likely voters. The law also creates automatic voter registration at the Department of Motor Vehicles. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Four years ago, Michelle Lujan Grisham easily won the election, benefitting both from the 2018 blue wave and a relatively weak opponent in Steve Pearce. New Mexico voters head to the polls on Tuesday to cast their ballots for the governor, the House, state Supreme Court and several down-ballot seats. A poll released Monday by an Albuquerque TV station showed incumbent Gov . For more information, visit cnn.com/election. According to the Albuquerque Journal, Grisham raised in excess of $11.1 million, as of October 3. The remaining votes, in 2020, were counted by 7:30 p.m. The $9.43 billion spending plan, which includes average 5% pay raises for state government employees and leaves room for rebates for taxpayers, is headed to the Senate Finance . State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Incumbents typically have an advantage in elections, but not always. For comparison, Survey USA has a grade of A for accuracy. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! New Mexico has historically been a presidential bellwether state. Polls on Election Day close at 9 p.m. Eastern time, with the first results coming in by 9:30 p.m. Close to 300 people attended the rally at Albert Johnson Park, next to Las Cruces City Hall. New Mexico. Wikipedia; Utah . Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Michelle Lujan Grisham holds a narrow lead over Republican nominee Mark Ronchetti at the start of the general election campaign. Thats a big difference from KOBs most recent poll done in conjunction with Survey USA. Republicans have held the office only three times in the states 110-year history. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican A bipartisan bill that would have left the cap on medical malpractice payouts for independent outpatient health care facilities at $750,000 for another two years stalled Thursday in the Senate Tax, Business and Transportation Committee. Michelle Lujan Grisham leads Mark . April 23, 2021 - New Mexico's next gubernatorial election is a year and a half away - not a long time when it comes to political campaigning. New Mexico Governor. New Mexico is a reliably blue state, having voted for the Democratic candidate in the last four presidential elections. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. However, GOP gains in 2022 are not a given. Heres a look at what to expect on election night: Polls close at 7 p.m. local time (9 p.m. Hall High Jazz Band to perform 65th annual Pops 'n Jazz show. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. 2022 general november 8, 2022. OXON HILL, Md. Ronchetti leads among white voters, with 47 percent of support compared to 43 percent for Lujan Grisham and 5 percent for Bedonie. Legal Statement. . Your e-mail address will be used to confirm your account. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. They spoke to more than 1,000 likely voters in New Mexico.